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Prophecy --- Forecasting --- Astrology --- Prophétie --- Prévision --- Astrologie --- Curiosities and wonders --- Prophétie --- Prévision --- Forecasting - Congresses. --- Curiosities and wonders - Congresses.

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Disasters --- Natural disasters --- Calamities --- Catastrophes --- Curiosities and wonders --- Accidents --- Hazardous geographic environments

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Cet essai comprend deux parties : la première reprend les textes rédigés pour "Ce qui arrive ", l'exposition de Paul Virilio à la Fondation Cartier (novembre 2002-mars 2003), la seconde qui développe les conséquences fatales de l'accélération du réel, au début du troisième millénaire.

Risk management. --- Disasters --- Science and civilization --- Gestion du risque --- Catastrophes --- Sciences et civilisation --- Catastrophes naturelles --- Catastrophes industrielles --- Changement social --- Progrès scientifique et technique --- Catastrophes naturelles. --- Catastrophes industrielles. --- Progrès scientifique et technique. --- Risk management --- Insurance --- Management --- Calamities --- Curiosities and wonders --- Accidents --- Hazardous geographic environments --- Progrès scientifique et technique. --- Disasters. --- Catastrophes. --- Sciences et civilisation.

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Depuis l’accident nucléaire de Tchernobyl jusqu’aux attaques terroristes du 11 septembre, en passant par l’ouragan Andrew ou le tremblement de terre de Kobe, les années récentes ont vu se succéder des catastrophes de grande ampleur qui ont causé de lourdes pertes en termes de vies, d’actifs et de richesse. Ces événements ont mis à mal le fonctionnement de systèmes vitaux tels que les transports ou l’approvisionnement en énergie, et eu des répercussions dans les zones avoisinantes et parfois même lointaines. Ils ont pu créer un sentiment général d’anxiété, et parfois entraîner une méfiance durable des citoyens quant à la capacité des gouvernants à les protéger. Ce livre s’appuie sur un rapport préparé entre mai et juillet 2003 par une équipe pluridisciplinaire d’experts de l'OCDE et d’autres organisations. Il analyse les conséquences économiques et sociales des catastrophes de grande ampleur survenues dans le passé, et en tire des leçons pour l’avenir. Il s’intéresse en particulier aux moyens de mieux prévenir les désastres et à la façon dont on peut restaurer la confiance et assurer le redémarrage économique après leur survenue.

Disasters --- Natural disasters --- Emergency management --- Earthquakes --- Catastrophes --- Catastrophes naturelles --- Gestion des situations d'urgence --- Tremblements de terre --- Economic aspects --- Aspect économique --- Emergency management. --- Economic aspects. --- Quakes (Earthquakes) --- Earth movements --- Seismology --- Consequence management (Emergency management) --- Disaster planning --- Disaster preparedness --- Disaster prevention --- Disaster relief --- Emergencies --- Emergency planning --- Emergency preparedness --- Management --- Public safety --- First responders --- Natural calamities --- Calamities --- Curiosities and wonders --- Accidents --- Hazardous geographic environments --- Planning --- Preparedness --- Prevention

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A myriad of models are available to guide practice before, during, and following disasters. As emphasized in this book, we value the role of research in informing our assessment, education, and intervention efforts in this area. Keeping an eye on those elements that have research backing certainly assists with quality control generally. However, more specifically, we also stress the idea that there is evidence to support a role for hope and positive expectations in the motivation and engagement process. In addition, the more that people, including youth and adults, actively participate in efforts designed to help, the more benefits they tend to receive. The role of research in providing that initial hope and inspiring more active engagement with internal and external resources before, during, and after a disaster is part of the foundation of our practice in this area. In fact, in the clinical psychology training program directed by the senior author, the idea that we attempt to inculcate with our trainees is the idea of “hope and engagement on an evidence-based foundation.” Consequently, we do advocate for models of practice that have identified “active ingredients” that are included: those particularly identified through controlled evaluation research. However, it is also the case that a number of risk and protective factors identified through a number of studies (e.g., see Chapter 2) have as yet to be systematically included.

Emergency management --- Disaster relief --- Disasters --- Community power. --- Community and school. --- Resilience (Personality trait) --- Citizen participation. --- Social aspects. --- Human resilience --- Resiliency (Personality trait) --- Personality --- School and community --- Schools --- Parents' and teachers' associations --- Community organization --- Elite (Social sciences) --- Local government --- Power (Social sciences) --- Sociology, Urban --- Calamities --- Catastrophes --- Curiosities and wonders --- Accidents --- Hazardous geographic environments --- Disaster assistance --- Emergency assistance in disasters --- Emergency relief --- Human services --- Consequence management (Emergency management) --- Disaster planning --- Disaster preparedness --- Disaster prevention --- Emergencies --- Emergency planning --- Emergency preparedness --- Management --- Public safety --- First responders --- Planning --- Preparedness --- Prevention --- Developmental psychology. --- Child and School Psychology. --- Development (Psychology) --- Developmental psychobiology --- Psychology --- Life cycle, Human --- Child psychology. --- School psychology. --- Psychology, School --- Psychology, Applied --- Behavior, Child --- Child behavior --- Child study --- Children --- Pediatric psychology --- Child development --- Developmental psychology